Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.426444 0.467092 0.510561 0.560615 0.616795 0.678057 0.750123
2026-01-25 0.362443 0.419525 0.484847 0.565606 0.663417 0.778876 0.926706
2026-02-01 0.316825 0.380157 0.455939 0.554220 0.679656 0.836229 1.049378
2026-02-08 0.290071 0.358298 0.442951 0.557160 0.709476 0.908897 1.195292
2026-02-15 0.266288 0.336860 0.427090 0.552924 0.727138 0.964823 1.322608
2026-02-22 0.249242 0.322062 0.417699 0.555135 0.752043 1.031174 1.470428
2026-03-01 0.231738 0.304919 0.403270 0.548327 0.762487 1.076557 1.590950
2026-03-08 0.216138 0.289015 0.388995 0.539950 0.768993 1.115553 1.704737
2026-03-15 0.199850 0.270924 0.370161 0.523049 0.760590 1.129998 1.779174
2026-03-22 0.193360 0.266207 0.369960 0.533520 0.794666 1.213906 1.979905
2026-03-29 0.186839 0.260921 0.368395 0.541494 0.825061 1.294293 2.184457
2026-04-05 0.179599 0.254059 0.363901 0.544314 0.846934 1.361994 2.374291
2026-04-12 0.172380 0.246918 0.358680 0.545813 0.867141 1.429653 2.575512
2026-04-19 0.166480 0.241439 0.355664 0.550639 0.893426 1.510937 2.816117
2026-04-26 0.157557 0.230757 0.343750 0.539619 0.890602 1.537798 2.947958
2026-05-03 0.152309 0.225533 0.340204 0.542465 0.912811 1.614156 3.196960
2026-05-10 0.146045 0.218342 0.333003 0.538365 0.921667 1.665078 3.397082
2026-05-17 0.141464 0.213606 0.329531 0.540504 0.942293 1.741512 3.668163
2026-05-24 0.135562 0.206414 0.321538 0.533915 0.945401 1.781933 3.859346
2026-05-31 0.129783 0.199153 0.313037 0.525806 0.944763 1.814194 4.035417
2026-06-07 0.122928 0.189806 0.300507 0.509442 0.926245 1.805777 4.105602
2026-06-14 0.121002 0.188646 0.302065 0.519581 0.962528 1.922411 4.527861
2026-06-21 0.118765 0.186840 0.302371 0.527300 0.994392 2.032710 4.955069